Leading Economic Index No Longer Predicts U.S. Recession -Conference Board For the first time since the summer of 2022, the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) no longer forecasts an impending U.S. recession, despite a continuous decline over the past 23 months. In January, the LEI fell 0.4% to 102.7, marking its lowest point since the brief recession in April 2020 triggered by COVID-19 and subsequent lockdowns. This change in outlook is attributed to positive contributions from six of the index’s ten components over the last six months, signaling a shift away from recession predictions. However, expectations for economic growth in the second and third quarters remain subdued, with projections close to zero, indicating a stagnating economy rather than a contracting one. « Previous Article Next Article » Share This Article Choose Your Platform: Facebook Twitter Google Plus Linkedin Related Posts Fed's Rate Strategy for 2024: Stability Over Cuts, Says One Wall St Analyst READ MORE Fed's Inflation Blunder Sets Stage for Looming US Recession, Says Top Economist READ MORE ECB Resists Market Pressure for Interest Rate Cuts READ MORE America’s Office Fire Sale Has Barely Begun READ MORE Fed's Hesitation on Rate Cuts Risks Economic Stability, Experts Warn READ MORE Add a Comment Cancel replyYour email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *Name * Email * Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Comment